The indicator that is
to be created is based on the concept of recognizing local peaks and valleys
where a price time series changes its direction from up to down (peak) and from
down to up (valley). This indicator we will refer to as the ZigZag indicator.
A turning point (TP)
peak is defined as the point where the high is higher than or equal to any
other highs in the neighborhood of the point.
A turning point (TP) valley
is defined as the point where the low is lower than or equal to any other lows
in the neighborhood of the point.
The ZigZag Indicator
used takes a look at three settings Depth, Deviation and Backstep. The ZigZag
indicator draws a connecting line between each of the consecutive turning
points found by the indicator. The formula for the indicator can be found in
the appendix section. The Fractal points displayed are from a common indicator
with unknown code. Neither of these methods or provided code are necessarily
the final method used to determine and find the turning points that will be
used in the statistical model.
The above definitions
are illustrated by an example graph below. The peaks and valleys are labeled
for the Yellow ZigZag line. Within those peaks and valleys one can find minor
peaks and valleys.
The ZigZag algorithm does not just blindly search for the
first consecutive valley after a peak (or a first consecutive peak after a
valley). It needs to optimize on turning points and locates such peaks and
valleys that a human expert would choose by looking at the chart. The method of
optimization at this time is unknown and one of the answers to be found from
this research. There are three inputs that need to be variable and optimized;
1. ExtDepth
2. ExtDeviation
3. ExtBackstep
There may be other ways to find or pro-grammatically these turning points and all options need to be looked at. Programmer input is also sought and desired with all parts to help in finding the best options for all sought after results.
1. ExtDepth
2. ExtDeviation
3. ExtBackstep
There may be other ways to find or pro-grammatically these turning points and all options need to be looked at. Programmer input is also sought and desired with all parts to help in finding the best options for all sought after results.
There is no
requirement in this research module for a peak to be higher than the previous
valley, and for a valley to be lower than previous peak. Our observations have
shown that if such a condition were applied, then potentially no turning points
could be established on vast portions of data. These data segments would then
be lost to analysis.
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